Earlier today I posted an issue of First Amendment News entited Resolution of wedding cake case — is it all about fashioning the facts?
In resposne to that, Professor Alan Morrison wrote to me inquiring how the factual dispute in the case might play out in the future, and then he raised this question: “Will this end up being a case in which parties can determine outcomes in the future by tailoring their speech and response?” Intrigued by that question, I invited Alan to elaborate. His comments are set out below. For the benefit of the reader, I have reinserted my five scenarios since Alan referenced them.
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Ron Collins raises the interesting question of whether the facts in Masterpiece Cake case may play a very significant role in the outcome, based on which of (at least) his five scenarios (dare I say “alternative facts”) the Court accepts. Presenting these alternative scenarios raises several thoughts that may be worth considering.
Scenario # 1: Gay couple walks into Christian bakery and attempts to buy a generic wedding cake from refrigerator display. Owner refuses to sell to them on religious grounds (oppsition to same-sex marriages).
Scenario # 2: Gay couple walks into Christian bakery and orders a generic wedding cake. Owner refuses to sell to them on religious grounds (oppsition to same-sex marriages).
Scenario # 3: Gay couple walks into Christian bakery and asks if they design cakes for same sex couples. Owner says no. Couple then attempts to buy generic wedding cake. Owner refuses to sell to them on religious grounds (oppsition to same-sex marriages).
Scenario # 4: Gay couple walks into Christian bakery and orders a generic wedding cake. They then ask to purchase two grooms to place on the cake. Owner refuses to sell to them on religious grounds (oppsition to same-sex marriages).
Scenario # 5: Gay couple walks into Christian bakery and asks if they will create and design a wedding cake for them. Owner refuses to sell to them on religious grounds (oppsition to same-sex marriages).

Prof. Alan Morrison (credit: GW Today_
It appears that the exchange between the buyers and the seller that gave rise to this case was very brief and was almost surely not carried out with the legal issue now before the Court in the minds of anyone. From what I have read, the alternatives Ron discusses were not fleshed out in this exchange and so what each party now says it wanted may have no bearing on what, if anything, was going through their minds at the time. To add to the uncertainty, the exchange was so brief, and perhaps infused with emotion on both sides, that any nuances now suggested were either not picked up or lost in the moment.
As a lawyer who has brought cases where the principle is as important as the benefits to the client, I applaud the buyers here for making the complaint and carrying it to the Supreme Court. But my point is only that, once the Supreme Court speaks, there is not likely to be many follow-on cases, which is probably to the good for everyone.